A small pop in the JOLTS measure of job openings in December. Too bad that the LinkUp measure, which tallies openings posted by 10,000 companies on their own corporate websites, showed no such improvement and continued to plunge in January.
A matter of when, not if. The new highs continued last week, and the S&P 500 index is now approaching the upper band of its rising channel. With those highs come ever loftier P/E ratios, with the trailing P/E multiple now reaching 22.4x.
Check out what's happening to new lease rents in the CPI's rent survey (which is critical component of Shelter inflation estimates): The cold plunge in new lease rents is even deeper than what most private data sources are showing.
For full disclosure I am in the "lower inflation" camp, BUT I must admit that I see a lot of leading indicators of inflation that are pointing higher ... at least for a quarter or two. This could have MAJOR implications for the Fed in 2024.