Difference from overall annual inflation rate by income group

Difference from overall annual inflation rate by income group

This was super interesting. It's well known that inflation is a typically bigger issue for lower income households than higher-income households. The explanation behind this phenomenon lies in the fact that this group has little savings on average and spends most of the income they generate.

By: Francois Trahan, M2SD

An opportunity for commodities to join the rally

An opportunity for commodities to join the rally

Last week headline CPI inflation confirmed it was in line with market expectations at +2.4% year/year, down from +2.5% y/y in last month's reading. Inflation is continuing to fall in the current cycle, however we think the similarities between the current path and surge inflation of the 1970's are worth paying more attention to.

By: Oliver Loutsenko

Ongoing Sector Rotation

Ongoing Sector Rotation

Sector rotation continues its way. As you can see in the chart below, over the last three months after NVDA results on July, the tech sector has become the laggard, and other sectors such as Utilities and Real Estate have taken the baton and have become the leaders of the S&P500.

By: Gustavo A. Cano

Future Debt Dynamics

Future Debt Dynamics

If the Republicans are going to sweep in November (and even if they don’t), we are likely in for a long regime of fiscal expansion (i.e., sustained large deficits), at a time when the Fed and other central banks are no longer swooping in to buy debt.

By: Jurrien Timmer

Rising Levels of Zombie Companies

Rising Levels of Zombie Companies

Compliments to The FED for propping Stock Market up with TRILLIONS in QE, RRP, BTFP, FHLB, TGA & other Liquidity. Crypto, AI & Tech companies are the instruments for liquidity deployment & orchestrating Crypto & AI mania to lure bagholders.

By: Yelena C.

U.S. housing market is roughly 1.5 million units short

U.S. housing market is roughly 1.5 million units short

IF you could magically conjure up 1.5 million housing units—750,000 for sale and 750,000 for rent—and they all stayed vacant, you'd bring housing vacancy rates back to their historic norms

By: Lance Lambert

The Fed goes ahead with a 50 bps rate cut

The Fed goes ahead with a 50 bps rate cut

The Federal Reserve decided to go big with its first interest rate cut in four years, dropping the Fed Funds Rate by 50 basis points. It also signaled that more cuts are on the way, projecting a further 50 basis point drop by the end of 2024 and another 100 basis point reduction by the end of 2025.

By: Robert Spendlove