2025 appears to be the year of normalization, or transition between expensive asset classes and more reasonably priced ones. In the chart above, you can see the 7 year real return forecast for Equity, Fixed Income and Cash by GMO.

By: Gustavo A. Cano

📉 US Stocks in a Low Correlation Regime: What It Means for Investors 📉

By: Ryan Lemand, PhD

Late stage tulip mania on Wall Street goes ballistic!

By: Matein (Matt) Khalid

Two conflicting reports haven been published recently. On one end, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) says that the weekly bearish sentiment of investors is reaching new highs at 48% (see chart above).

By: Gustavo A. Cano

The Goldman Sachs Bull/Bear Market Indicator measuring market and economic sentiment hit 73% 🚀 , one of the largest readings in history.

By: Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA

History shows us that when the risk-free asset (Treasuries, supposedly) becomes competitive with equities, stocks have to work harder to compete. This dynamic is explained by the Fed model, which compares the equity “P/E” to the bond P/E (below).

By: Jurrien Timmer

"41% of revenues in the S&P 500 come from abroad. If we have a recession in Europe and a continued slowdown in China, it will have a significant negative impact on earnings for S&P 500 companies."

By: Daily Chartbook

Everyone wants American assets.

This is a big turnaround from 2009, where deep in crisis the American financial system went right to the brink.

By: Topdown Charts

USA vs the World

If you buy an index fund on the MSCI World index (Developed markets), only about 25% of that fund will be invested in the "world."

By: Callum Thomas

For the past two years, economists and market analysts have consistently warned of an impending US recession. Yield curve inversions, aggressive Fed hikes, tightening credit conditions, and elevated recession probabilities in economic models all pointed to a looming downturn.

By: Boris Kovacevic