Two cash indicators are showing extremes: on one end, mutual fund managers have the lowest level of cash on their portfolios since mid 2021 (see chart above).
We raise our S&P 500 year-end target from 5200 to 5600 (+3% from current level) driven by milder-than-average negative earnings revisions and a higher fair value P/E multiple (from 19.5x to 20.4x).
At 8.17 U.S. dollars, Switzerland has the most expensive Big Macs in the world, according to the January 2024 Big Mac index. Concurrently the cost of a Big Mac was 5.69 dollars in the U.S., and 5.87 U.S. dollars in the Euro area.